Check Timing of Outcomes
This method compares the predicted timing of outcomes in the program theory with the actual dates of observed changes. It's valuable for confirming whether the intervention's effects are occurring within the expected timeframe, strengthening causal attribution.
Use this method when the program theory includes specific predictions about when outcomes should occur to validate the theory's accuracy.
Solves: Outcomes occurring later or earlier than expected, questioning the program's effectiveness.
- 1
Step 1: Identify the predicted timing of key outcomes from the program theory (15 min).
- 2
Step 2: Gather data on the actual dates when these outcomes were observed (30 min).
- 3
Step 3: Compare the predicted and actual dates and calculate any time differences (15 min).
- Consider potential reasons for timing discrepancies, such as external factors or implementation delays.
- Focus on the most critical outcomes for the program's success.
- Create a visual timeline to illustrate the predicted and actual outcome dates.